Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.024844 0.026970 0.029194 0.031694 0.034427 0.037326 0.040637
2025-08-03 0.021142 0.024176 0.027528 0.031514 0.036133 0.041327 0.047624
2025-08-10 0.019026 0.022606 0.026729 0.031842 0.038031 0.045305 0.054536
2025-08-17 0.017104 0.020954 0.025536 0.031415 0.038787 0.047769 0.059603
2025-08-24 0.015532 0.019529 0.024421 0.030882 0.039235 0.049733 0.064023
2025-08-31 0.014351 0.018464 0.023626 0.030620 0.039913 0.051924 0.068763
2025-09-07 0.013361 0.017551 0.022930 0.030391 0.040553 0.054027 0.073436
2025-09-14 0.012537 0.016786 0.022353 0.030246 0.041246 0.056182 0.078249
2025-09-21 0.011736 0.015991 0.021674 0.029892 0.041592 0.057834 0.082402
2025-09-28 0.011175 0.015483 0.021341 0.029977 0.042527 0.060322 0.087862
2025-10-05 0.010583 0.014892 0.020852 0.029795 0.043043 0.062206 0.092506
2025-10-12 0.010146 0.014492 0.020602 0.029930 0.044006 0.064768 0.098293
2025-10-19 0.009727 0.014116 0.020393 0.030155 0.045180 0.067809 0.105182
2025-10-26 0.009211 0.013569 0.019909 0.029942 0.045682 0.069868 0.110696
2025-11-02 0.008875 0.013273 0.019774 0.030246 0.046989 0.073239 0.118533
2025-11-09 0.008388 0.012716 0.019211 0.029840 0.047135 0.074754 0.123379
2025-11-16 0.007917 0.012157 0.018612 0.029337 0.047079 0.075914 0.127674
2025-11-23 0.007542 0.011728 0.018190 0.029089 0.047415 0.077723 0.133179
2025-11-30 0.007201 0.011336 0.017804 0.028872 0.047780 0.079584 0.138874
2025-12-07 0.006902 0.010994 0.017479 0.028734 0.048263 0.081659 0.145072
2025-12-14 0.006582 0.010603 0.017054 0.028400 0.048379 0.083087 0.150159
2025-12-21 0.006366 0.010371 0.016878 0.028480 0.049219 0.085833 0.157868
2025-12-28 0.006115 0.010069 0.016569 0.028309 0.049593 0.087749 0.164116